Analysis of predictive factors for fully mission capable rates of deployed aircraft
Moore, Patricia B.
Buttrey, Samuel E.
MetadataShow full item record
As the U.S. military reduces its forces, the ability to maintain an acceptable level of readiness is of concern to the U.S. Navy. Both personnel and equipment readiness and the ability to predict them have been the focus of much attention. Fully Mission Capable (FMC) rates measure the percentage of time that aircraft are fully able to meet mission requirements. FMC rates have been determined to be the best single measure of equipment condition, providing an indication of aircraft readiness. This thesis evaluates the capabilities of logistic regression and regression trees in predicting aircraft readiness for a specific carrier deployment or aircraft type/model/series (TMS). The data are taken from observations of squadrons by aircraft TMS by month from 1981 through 1997. Empirical results indicate that logistic regression and regression trees provide forecasting results with standard errors of prediction better than taking the mean and standard deviation of the historical data.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Germershausen, Zachary D.; Steele, Scott A. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2015-12);In an environment where U.S. military readiness is increasingly critical, this thesis investigates the effects of Marine Corps aviation maintenance qualifications on Marine aircraft readiness. The sample population used ...
A Model of the effect of sparing and repair turnaround time of the inertial navigation system on aircraft readiness for the F/A-18. Hase, Christopher A. (1988-06);Modern aircraft design allows for short turnaround times by removing the failed component and installing an operational one. The defective component is then either repaired in the squadron or turned in to supply which then ...
MacKinnon, Douglas J.; Huang, Jefferson (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate SchoolMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School., 2021);The Naval Aviation Enterprise (NAE) is tasked with providing sufficient numbers of aircraft to meet readiness and operational surge requirements. This study seeks to improve readiness as defined by the number of mission-capable ...