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Integrated Portfolio Analysis: Return on Investment and Real options Analysis of Intelligence Information Systems (Cryptologic Carry On Program)

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Author
Rios, Cesar G.
Housel, Thomas
Mun, Johnathan
Date
2006-09-01
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Abstract
This paper introduces the Knowledge Value Added/Real Options (KVA+RO) valuation framework for use in information technology (IT) portfolio management within the Navy. KVA+RO is designed to support information technology (IT) portfolio investment decisions. It is intended to empower decision-makers by providing performance-based data and analyses like the Return On Investment (ROI) on individual projects, programs and processes within a portfolio of IT investments. Using KVA historical data as a platform, potential strategic investments are evaluated with real options analysis. The first section discusses limitations of existing ROI approaches. The paper then presents KVA+RO methodology and framework, reviews core concepts, underlying assumptions, metrics and potential applications to the IT portfolio management problem in the DoD. In the final section, the KVA+RO valuation framework is applied to Naval Cryptologic Carry On Program (CCOP) systems, that are used in the Intelligence Collection Process (ICP), for evaluation of signal intelligence gathering system investments.
Description
Sponsored Report (for Acquisition Research Program)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10945/33143
NPS Report Number
NPS-AM-06-016
Collections
  • Acquisition Management (NPS-AM)
  • All Technical Reports Collection
  • Faculty and Researchers' Publications

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    Integrated portfolio analysis: return on investment and real options analysis of intelligence information systems (cryptologic carry on program) 

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