System Dynamics Modeling for Improved Knowledge Value Assessment: A Proof of Concept Study
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Author
Ford, David N.
Housel, Thomas J.
Dillard, John T.
Date
2010-08-09Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Effective and efficient DoD acquisition programs require the analysis of a
wide range of materiel alternatives. Diversity among alternatives, difficulties in
selecting metrics and measuring performance, and other factors make the Analysis
of Alternatives (AoA) difficult. The benefits of alternatives should be included in the
AoA, but cost estimates dominate most AoA processes. Incorporating benefits into
AoA is particularly difficult because of the intangible nature of many important
benefits. The current work addresses the need to improve the use of benefits in AoA
by building a system dynamics model of a military operation and integrating it with
the Knowledge Value Added (KVA) methodology. The synergies may be able to
significantly improve the accuracy of KVA estimates in the AoA process. A notional
mobile weapon system was modeled and calibrated to reflect four weaponized
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV). Modeling a hypothetical AoA for upgrading one of
the UAV indicated that there were potentially significant synergies that could
increase the number of alternatives that could be analyzed, establishing common
units of benefit estimates for an AoA, improved reliability of an AoA, and improved
justification of AoA results. These can improve alternative selection, thereby
improving final materiel effectiveness, thereby improving the DoD acquisition
processes.
Description
Sponsored Report (for Acquisition Research Program)
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.NPS Report Number
NPS-AM-10-162Related items
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System dynamics modeling for improved knowledge value assessmenta proof-of-concept study
Ford, David N. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2010-08-09); NPS-GSBPP-10-015Effective and efficient DoD acquisition programs require the analysis of a wide range of materiel alternatives. Diversity among alternatives, difficulties in selecting metrics and measuring performance, and other factors ... -
System dynamics modeling for improved knowledge value assessment: a proof-of-concept study
Ford, David N.; Housel, Thomas J.; Dillard, John T. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2010); NPS-GSBPP-10-015Effective and efficient DoD acquisition programs require the analysis of a wide range of materiel alternatives. Diversity among alternatives, difficulties in selecting metrics and measuring performance, and other factors ... -
Integrating System Dynamics Modeling and Knowledge Value Added for Improved Analysis of Alternatives: A Proof of Concept Study
Ford, David; Housel, Tom; Dillard, John T. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2010-04-30); NPS-AM-10-059Effective and efficient DoD acquisition programs require the analysis of a wide range of materiel alternatives. Alternative diversity, difficulties in selecting metrics and measuring performance, and other factors make the ...