Capability and Development Time Trade-off Analysis in Systems-of-Systems
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Capability-based acquisition has led to the simultaneous development of systems that must eventually interact within a system-of-systems (or major sub-systems that must integrate on a single platform). The necessary interdependencies between systems also generate complexity and can increase development risk. Trades between capability and risk are essential during analysis of alternatives in pre-acquisition phases. For example, while legacy assets can potentially provide a certain level of capability with relatively low risk, their eventual capability may be restricted because of some specific characteristic or inherent rigidity. These features create a trade-off space between development risk and capability potential of a system. Existing tools for such trades can be cumbersome and non-intuitive when complexity is high. The authors'' prior work has developed a Computational Exploratory Model to simulate the development process dynamics for these complex networks of systems intended for a system-of-systems capability. The progress documented in this paper couples the computational model with a capability module applied to the Airborne Laser (ABL) system and presents an exemplary analysis of alternatives by comparing expected development time and capability level under certain probabilities of disruption.
Proceedings Paper (for Acquisition Research Program)
NPS Report NumberNPS-AM-11-C8P19R01-066
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