Publication:
Effects of Moral Conduct Waivers on First-term Attrition of US Army Soldiers

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Authors
Distifeno, Christopher
Subjects
Waivers
Conduct, Moral, Waivers, Attrition, Recruiting, Manpower, First-term Attrition, Waiver, Felony Waivers
Advisors
Date of Issue
2008-03-01
Date
01-Mar-08
Publisher
Language
Abstract
This study evaluates the US Army''s policy on granting moral conduct waivers and the effects of moral conduct waivers on the quality of service. The analysis investigates the wartime levels of recruits who were approved for different categories of conduct waivers. The research methodology includes multivariate analyses in the form of ordinary least squares regression models and probit regression models. This study employs US Army MEPCOM data obtained from the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) for soldiers who enlisted between 2000 and 2006. The study will analyze first-term attrition as a function of age, sex, race, AFQT, rank, bonus size, education, prior service, youth program participation (such as JROTC), contract length, and all sub-categories of conduct waivers. In addition, I analyze attrition at 180 and 365 days for all cohorts. The study also includes a survival analysis to investigate whether conduct waivers affect the duration of survival during the first enlistment contract. The analysis reveals that attrition rate differences between soldiers with waivers and those without does not remain constant and depends on when attrition is measured. At the beginning of the first term, conduct waiver soldiers attrite at lower rates than non-waiver soldiers. However, at the end of the first term this pattern is reversed. Model results show that recruits in the Global War on Terror (GWOT) sample did not have a large difference in attrition rates between the waiver and non-waiver groups by the end of the first term of service. By breaking down the conduct waivers into sub-categories of waivers (substance, serious, and traffic), I find that there are significant differences between each groups'' attrition rates. These findings raise the question of whether the conduct waiver policy needs to be revised to better suit current wartime needs and demographic changes in the recruit population.
Type
Technical Report
Description
Sponsored Report (for Acquisition Research Program)
Department
Graduate School of Business & Public Policy
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
NPS-HR-08-008
Sponsors
Naval Postgraduate School Acquisition Research Program
The research presented in this report was supported by the Acquisition Chair of the Graduate School of Business & Public Policy at the Naval Postgraduate School
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Citation
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Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.