Global scenarios: their current state and future
Pang, Alex Soojung-Kim
MetadataShow full item record
The purpose of the essay is to survey the current state and future prospects for scenarios: to describe how scenario practices have evolved in the last few years; present an overview of the forces pushing scenarios in new directions; and suggest how the production, communication, audienca and service roles for scenarios may change. It begins with a history of scenarios, with a focus on their use in corporate strategy and decision-making. It then surveys the use of scenarios in two newer contexts have raised practical and theoretical questions about how scenarios can be developed and used: environmental and global change modeling, and national security and intelligence. Finally, it looks at the future of scenarios, suggests how the development and use of scenarios will evolve in the next few years, These experiments suggest that the fundamentals of scenarioss, is changing and this opens up opportunities for new organizations to take the lead in developing the next generation of scenarios. I conclude with some suggestions about how GPPAG could position itself to become a leader in this new form of scenario practice and in doing so carve out a unique and high-profile niche for itself in the world of academic studies of globalization and national security.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Deering, Viviane; Grates, Patrick; Hedge, Tom; Kung, Sein; Martinez, Maria; Mcarthy, Percival; Pugh, Kevin; Radojkovic, Sasha (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-09); NPS-SE-06-002This project concentrates on implementing network centric military operations with specific threat engagement scenarios using legacy and future warfare systems based on open architecture concepts. These systems may be ...
Helmann, Jack E. (Monterey, California. U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, 1967);The United States Army is undergoing force structure and doctrinal changes to meet the evolving threats facing the nation. To fulfill operational requirements brought about by these changes, Army aviation is developing the ...
Helm, Eric G. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2002-06);The United States Army is undergoing force structure and doctrinal changes to meet the evolving threats facing the nation. To fulfill operational requirements brought about by these changes, Army aviation is developing the ...