The development of a naval battle model and its validation using historical data
Beall, Thomas Reagan.
Hughes, Wayne P.
Halwachs, Thomas E.
MetadataShow full item record
This thesis describes the development and validation of a naval battle model which incorporates a tactical theory by Captain Wayne P. Hughes, Jr. Opposing forces are portrayed as aggregations of the staying power and combat power of their individual platforms. Attrition is modeled as a force-on- force process and is expressed in terms of the degradation of each force's combat power and staying power throughout the engagement, user variation of model inputs concerning the timing, direction and strength of each force's fire permits analysis of the impact of scouting effectiveness and Command and Control on battle dynamics. Data from fourteen historical naval battles were gathered to compute model input parameters for the opposing forces and their interactions. The model's prediction of the outcome is compared with each battle's actual outcome. The conclusion drawn from this analysis that the model is a fair representation of reality. The model's potential for practical application is explored by using it to analyze the tactical options of the U.S. commander at the World War II Battle of Savo Island. Model results clearly indicate the weakness in U.S. tactics in this battle and suggest alternative tactics which afforded a better chance of success. (Author)
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Michael, James Bret (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2003); NPS-CS-03-006Given that battle-management solutions in system-of-systems environment are separately designed and developed on various operating platforms in different languages, predicting battle-management behavior of system-of-systems ...
Mortlock, Robert (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2017-07); NPS-AM-17-211This Enhanced Combat Helmet (ECH) case study encourages critical analysis of a U.S. Defense Department project at two key decision points: project start and production. The case centers on the development, testing, and ...
Jensen, Jimmie; Blais, Curtis (2007);The Battle Management Language (BML) is defined as an unambiguous language for command and control of live, simulated, and robotic forces. In March 2006, the SISO Standards Advisory Council approved initiation of a Product ...