An analysis of small navy tactics using a modified Hughes' Salvo Model

Abstract

This thesis develops a modified version of Hughes' Salvo Model and employs it to analyze the tactical disposition (concentration or dispersion) of a small, but modern, navy whose adversary is numerically superior but technologicaly inferior. It also identifies tactical factors and develops insights that are critical to the success of small navies when fighting outnumbered. Quantitative results indicate that the smaller navy must fight dispersed and win by outscouting the enemy and attacking him effectively first. This requires a superior scouting capability, effective command, control, and communications (C3), and the ability to deliver sufficient striking power. To ensure the delivery of sufficient striking power, a small navy must put greater emphasis on offensive firepower to compensate for small force size. To be successful in battle, small navies must show initiative, and be willing to implement bold tactics. These attributes have been demonstrated by small, but successful, naval forces in the history of naval warfare. In addition, innovative tactical thinking can allow small navies to take advantage of useful tactical phenomena like the "missile-sump-effect" and to design the most appropriate type of combat craft for their respective operating environments.