Lanchester for Cyber: The Mixed Epidemic-Combat Model
Schramm, Harrison C.
Gaver, Donald P.
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Future conflict between armed forces will occur both in the physical domain as well as the information domain. The linkage of these domains is not yet fully understood. We study the dynamics of a force subject to kinetic effects as well as a specific network effect–spreading malware. In the course of our study, we unify two well-studied models: the Lanchester model of armed conflict and deterministic models of epidemiology. We develop basic results, including a rule for determining when explicit modeling of network propagation is required. We then generalize the model to a force subdivided by both physical and network topology, and demonstrate the specific case where the force is divided between front- and rear-echelons. © 2013Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 599–605, 2013
The article of record as published may be located at http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/nav.21555
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.