Optimal day-ahead scheduling of a hybrid electric grid using weather forecasts
MetadataShow full item record
The compromise between the stability of a hybrid electric grid (HEG) and the total operating cost can be reached by accurately anticipating the future renewable power productions. This thesis suggests the use of weather forecasts to establish day-ahead operating schedules for a grid that include the operating plan of dispatchable fuel-based generators, the charge or discharge of energy storage units, and the energy to exchange with the commercial grid if the configuration of the HEG allows it. The weather forecasts used as a key factor to establish the optimal plan are subject to uncertainty. In order to mitigate this problem, multiple weather forecast scenarios are used in the optimization. This thesis alters the optimization model to represent various configurations of the HEG and optimizes over a variety of weather forecasts. It then tests the operating plans suggested by the model using particular weather scenarios representing actual observed weather conditions. Finally, this thesis gives an illustration of how to run the optimization model with the rolling horizon method using updates of weather forecasts.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
The impacts of weather forecasts on military operations a system for conducting quantitative near-real time analyses Butler, Mark D. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2005-09);We have developed, tested, and operationally implemented a web based system for collecting and analyzing in nearreal time weather forecast and observational data to assess: (a) the performance of forecasts; and (b) the ...
Darnell, Karen M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-03);Accurate weather forecasts are vital to air combat operations. Quantitative assessments of forecasts and their operational impacts are essential to improving weather support for war fighters. We adapted an existing U.S. ...
Evaluation of the AFWA WRF 4-km moving nest model predictions for Western North Pacific tropical cyclones Ryerson, William R. (Monterey California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-03);The Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) version of the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model with a moving 4-km nested grid is examined for 10 track and intensity predictions of six western North ...