North Korea's choice of the types of provocation against South Korea
Lee, Hyun Haeng
Huntley, Wade L.
MetadataShow full item record
This research starts from the question of how North Korea decides upon the types of its provocations against the South. To find the answer, the author divides the major provocations into three periods, according to their characteristics, and examines how the major decisive factors of the Norths crisis policy making, such as military strength, relations with China and the Soviet Union (Russia), regime stability, and economic power, affected its choice of provocation types. The results of the analysis suggest that Pyongyang has chosen the targets, scale, and methods of provocation by thoroughly evaluating its current military, diplomatic, political, and economic conditions. Therefore, what types of provocations will be initiated by North Korea in the future? One of the obvious points is that Pyongyangs confidence to defeat Seoul will not be restored soon, and the unexpected strong response of the United States and South Korea will confuse the Norths strategic decision making. For that reason, the most effective way for South Korea to deter any possible provocations by the North is to put more pressure on the Kim regime by using its overwhelming national power and conveying its strong intention to retaliate against the Norths threats on the basis of the firm ROK-U.S. military alliance.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Suh, Jimmy J. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2017-12);This thesis analyzes the effects of subsurface forces on security around the Korean Peninsula. It looks at the history, order of battle, and past provocations carried out by the Korean People's Navy (KPN) in the undersea ...
Rowe, Neil C. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2005);Since many forms of online deception are harmful, it is helpful to enumerate possible detection methods. We discuss low-levels clues such as pauses and overgenerality as well as ?cognitive? clues such as noticing of factual ...
Feasibility analysis of UAV technology to improve tactical surveillance in South Korea's rear area operations Kim, Sangbum (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2017-03);This thesis examines the feasibility of introducing battalion-level unmanned aerial vehicles as a countermeasure to solve the problems in the Korean rear area operations caused by the Republic of Korea's military structure ...