Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) in military decision support processes
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Authors
Teague, Karen J.
Subjects
Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Fuzzy logic
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE)
Decision Making
simulation
Fuzzy logic
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE)
Decision Making
simulation
Advisors
Singham, Dashi
Date of Issue
2013-12
Date
Dec-13
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The United States has a tradition of military analysis using a federated or combined suite of models. However, these are not the only methods of modeling military problems. We consider the application and implications of foreign modeling approaches. The particular alternate technique we focus on is fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). FCE makes use of fuzzy mathematics, alone and in partnership with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) models, to inform strategic and operational decisions. It is designed to aid leaders in capturing the complicated and sometimes fuzzy nature of multi-criteria decision problems through human knowledge and evaluations. These subjective inputs present criticisms regarding FCE solutions. FCE results are only as valid as the consistency of the subject matter experts opinions. Therefore, this thesis analyzes the FCE approach through a case study and evaluates the implications of FCE results when there is high variance in expert opinions.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.