A cost and operational effectiveness analysis of alternative anti-surface warfare platforms
Skinner, Walter Mark.
Sovereign, Michael G.
San Miguel, Joseph G.
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A Cost and Operational Effectiveness Analysis (COEA) is performed for three alternative anti-surface warfare (ASUW) platforms that will conduct operations in multi-service regional scenarios. Estimated program costs, historical cost variances, and measures of operational effectiveness are determined for each COEA alternative, and service life extension effects are examined. The data is merged in a mixed-integer optimization model, MPAMODI, that develops the best implementation plan for each alternative. The solution of choice is an ASUW Improvement Program modified P-3C whose service life is extended through a Sustained Readiness Program. Historical cost variance of P-3C cost estimates proves inconsequential over the planning horizon. A second question is then examined, that of the cost effectiveness of major modification programs versus new production aircraft. Cost effectiveness of major modification programs becomes doubtful only when modification costs exceed 150% of original cost estimates.
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