Application of logistic regression and survival analysis to the study of CEP, manpower performance and attrition
Lian, Tian Tse.
Lindsay, Glenn F.
MetadataShow full item record
This thesis is an application of logistic regression and survival analysis techniques to the study of current estimated potential (CEP), manpower performance, and attrition behavior in the Singapore military. The manpower data includes both active (30%) and reserve personnel (70%) who entered service as early as the late fifties to as recent as the year 1992. The covariates under consideration are education level, academic or overseas military training award, current rank, length of service, rank seniority, age, salary grade, previous year's annual performance grade and CEP estimates. The study identifies the covariates that explain the CEP and annual performance for the binary and polytomous models of the officers who were still on active duty as of 31 Dec 1992. It also examines the trend of attrition behavior of officers using data from both the active and reserve personnel. The results of the study show that (1) higher education level does not necessary result in better performance grade although it seems to give an indication of higher CEP, (2) The higher the rank of an officer, the more likely it is for him to have a poorer performance grade than when he was in the previous rank, (3) Education level is a significant covariate of the survival functions, and (4) Engineering officers generally has a higher attrition rate than the other service support officers.
RightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owner
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Brien, Spencer T. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-10-29); NPS-HR-20-004This study examines the determinants of attrition among the Department of Defense civilian workforce. We follow a cohort of civilian employees newly appointed in 2009 and track their separations through 2017. Using personnel ...
Officer career paths and the effects of commissioning sources on the survival patterns of Army officers Doganca, Erkan. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006);This thesis analyzes the career paths of U.S. Army officers and evaluates the effect of commissioning source on their survival patterns. Data used in this study are taken from the Active Duty Military Master File provided ...
EXPLORATORY SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE BLUE-COLLAR AND WHITE-COLLAR CIVILIAN EMPLOYEE ATTRITION FACTORS Urech, Anthony C. (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-03);A key enabler of military readiness includes civilian employees who work for the Department of Defense (DoD). To sustain military readiness, it is in the government’s interest to understand DoD civilian workforce attrition ...