Application of logistic regression and survival analysis to the study of CEP, manpower performance and attrition
Lian, Tian Tse.
Lindsay, Glenn F.
MetadataShow full item record
This thesis is an application of logistic regression and survival analysis techniques to the study of current estimated potential (CEP), manpower performance, and attrition behavior in the Singapore military. The manpower data includes both active (30%) and reserve personnel (70%) who entered service as early as the late fifties to as recent as the year 1992. The covariates under consideration are education level, academic or overseas military training award, current rank, length of service, rank seniority, age, salary grade, previous year's annual performance grade and CEP estimates. The study identifies the covariates that explain the CEP and annual performance for the binary and polytomous models of the officers who were still on active duty as of 31 Dec 1992. It also examines the trend of attrition behavior of officers using data from both the active and reserve personnel. The results of the study show that (1) higher education level does not necessary result in better performance grade although it seems to give an indication of higher CEP, (2) The higher the rank of an officer, the more likely it is for him to have a poorer performance grade than when he was in the previous rank, (3) Education level is a significant covariate of the survival functions, and (4) Engineering officers generally has a higher attrition rate than the other service support officers.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Officer career paths and the effects of commissioning sources on the survival patterns of Army officers Doganca, Erkan. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-09);This thesis analyzes the career paths of U.S. Army officers and evaluates the effect of commissioning source on their survival patterns. Data used in this study are taken from the Active Duty Military Master File provided ...
Korkmaz, Ibrahim (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2005-03);The goal of this thesis is to identify and quantitatively evaluate the factors, especially commissioning source, that affect the longevity of officers in the U.S. Navy. To reach this goal, a survival analysis is conducted ...
Oñate Rubiano, Laureano Enrique (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1993-09);In this thesis, survival analysis is used to study US Coast Guard enlisted attrition behavior in terms of individual personnel characteristics such as sex, marital status, race, paygrade and rating. Results obtained based ...