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dc.contributor.advisorRothstein, Hy
dc.contributor.authorWatkins, Christopher L.
dc.dateJune 2014
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-13T20:18:04Z
dc.date.available2014-08-13T20:18:04Z
dc.date.issued2014-06
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/42750
dc.descriptionApproved for public release; distribution is unlimiteden_US
dc.description.abstractInsurgent conflict has become the most prevalent form of warfare in the modern era. At the onset of conflict, an insurgent force is usually at a great disadvantage in comparison to the counterinsurgent force. Despite this, modern insurgents often win. What dynamics play into the strategy of the insurgents? How can an insurgent force best use its limited resources to increase its chances of success? This study shows that there are four best practices and two worst practices for insurgents. Beyond the dynamics of specific factors, this study also demonstrates that there are common causal recipes that help to explain the outcome of post World War II insurgencies. The analysis process for this thesis uses both a quantitative and qualitative method, using 21 variables to study 70 insurgency cases. Ultimately, this research demonstrates that insurgents must devote few material resources to attacking COIN forces and many material resources to influencing a population’s perception. These findings are important to anyone who must understand what actions drive an insurgency toward eventual success or failure. The findings can explain past conflicts and can be applied to ongoing or future conflicts to better understand the dynamics at play.en_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California: Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. As such, it is in the public domain, and under the provisions of Title 17, United States Code, Section 105, may not be copyrighted.en_US
dc.titleHow insurgents win: examining the dynamics of modern insurgenciesen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderFreeman, Michael
dc.contributor.departmentDefense Analysis
dc.subject.authorInsurgentsen_US
dc.subject.authormodern insurgenciesen_US
dc.subject.authorbest practicesen_US
dc.subject.authoroutcomeen_US
dc.subject.authordynamicsen_US
dc.subject.authoractionsen_US
dc.subject.authorsafe havensen_US
dc.subject.authorpopulationen_US
dc.subject.authorstrategyen_US
dc.subject.authordurationen_US
dc.subject.authorexternal participantsen_US
dc.subject.authorexternal supporten_US
dc.subject.authorqualitative comparative analysis (QCA)en_US
dc.description.recognitionOutstanding Thesisen_US
dc.description.serviceMajor, United States Armyen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Science in Defense Analysisen_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineDefense Analysisen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US


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