Improving the analysis capabilities of the Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model (STORM)

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Authors
Bickel, William G., Jr.
Subjects
Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model (STORM)
OPNAV N81
campaign analysis
design of experiments
stochastic simulation
Advisors
Lucas, Thomas W.
Date of Issue
2014-09
Date
Sep-14
Publisher
Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
The Office of the Chief of Naval Operations, Capability Analysis and Assessment Division (OPNAV N81), along with other DOD organizations, utilizes the Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model (STORM) as its primary campaign analysis tool. STORM aids senior-level policymakers in evaluating military strategy and capabilities, force structure, and operational effectiveness. This is a proof-of-concept thesis that determines the feasibility of implementing a simple design of experiments within the complicated framework of STORM. Such a capability will enable quicker and more robust estimates of proposed force structure trade-offs. After utilizing various methods and statistical techniques, this thesis concludes that it is possible to implement small designs within STORM that could offer useful insights to OPNAV N81 analysts. However, the steps needed to successfully complete a design are far from automated and fairly complex. Currently, they require a great deal of time to manually apply. As a pilot study, these results pave the way for future researchers to apply our results to a real-world, classified scenario.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
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Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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