Improving the Turkish Navy requirements determination process ban assessment of demand forecasting methods for weapon system items
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Authors
Unlu, Naim Teoman.
Subjects
Advisors
Gue, Kevin R.
Crouch, Thom W.
Date of Issue
2001-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Requirements determination is the process the Inventory Control Center Command (ICCC) uses to forecast future customer demands and to set levels of inventory to satisfy those demands. Demand forecasting is the essence of the Requirements Determination Process (RDP), which uses a forecasting model to predict demand. Then inventory models use this information to determine stock levels for every material. If forecasts and subsequent purchases are higher than actual usage, the result is excess inventory. If forecasts are lower than actual usage, the result is excessive backorders. Since excess inventory ties up money that could be used modernizing weapon systems, and since inadequate inventory can hamper critical systems as they wait for spare parts or repairs, forecasting future demands appropriately and setting inventory levels accordingly is highly important for an inventory management system. The purpose of this thesis is to determine whether alternative methodologies offer better performance. We evaluate the current forecasting model that is used by the Turkish Navy and compare it with other forecasting methodologies.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Management
Organization
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xiv, 85 p. ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.