Iran’s Evolving Ballistic Missile Doctrine: From Deterrence to Anti-Access/Area- Denial Strategies & Capabilities
Center on Contemporary Conflict
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Objective: Iran is seeking to improve the accuracy of its missiles and is pursuing related technologies. Though it is unlikely that Iran will achieve the pinpoint accuracy and increased range it seeks, it is reasonable to assume that engineers will significantly improve the accuracy of Iran’s short-range rockets and missiles. These capabilities could be used for political purposes by waging a campaign of fear on regional rivals. This study will estimate the accuracy of current Iranian missiles, forecast the accuracy of future systems, and assess the potential impacts of such improvements on Iran’s current anti-access/area-denial strategy. Identified findings can then be shared with regional partners to help create a common operating picture for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). In addition, the project could help facilitate a harmonization of military-defense requirements, strategic policies, and procurement priorities across the GCC.
Performer: International Institute for Strategic Studies Project Lead: Michael Elleman Project Cost: $77,000 FY15-16
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