A Bering Sea Forecast from Oceanographic Monthly Summary (OMS) Data
Dunlap, Calvin R.
Leipper, Dale F.
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On June 6, 1984, The Environmental Acoustic Research Group was asked if the SST in the Bering Sea for the remainder of June-July would be anomalous. An answer was desired within a few hours. No recent observations were available. However, a newly published article by Niebauer (1984) had established a 25%- 30% probability that surface air temperature in the Pribiloff Island area would be higher some 12 months after an ENSO event (ENSO is an El Nino index). Considering this probability and that there was an ENSO event in 1982-83, an anomalously warm 1984 summer was indicated.