Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Western Pacific Using Operational Global Models
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Recent increases in the skill of tropical cyclone track predictions have been attributed to increased accuracy of guidance from operational global models. As this skill increases, dynamical prediction has been extended into the medium ranges, and five-day track predictions are becoming more feasible. However, as a tropical cyclone can form, intensify, and move over long distances in that time, the need for accurate numerical representation of tropical cyclone formation becomes significant.
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Springer, Cory A. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1994-06);The short term teleconnections arising from an individual tropical cyclone in the western Pacific were examined using a global operational data assimilation system and forecast model. In the ...
Thermodynamic and kinematic flow characteristics of some developing and non-developing disturbances in predict Sauer, William A.,II (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 2014-12);The development of tropical disturbances into tropical cyclones is not well understood. The lack of data on developing and non-developing tropical disturbances makes theoretical models difficult to test empirically. This ...
Kilroy, Gerard (Monterey, California; Naval Postgraduate School, 2014-03-10);Idealized numerical model experiments are presented to investigate the convective generation of vertical vorticity in a tropical depression. The calculations are motivated by observations made during the recent PREDICT ...