Assessment of the Potential for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Navy Global Model
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Some of the recent increase in skill of tropical cyclone track predictions has been attributed to increased accuracy of guidance from global dynamical models. Indeed, as the skill in dynamical predictions has been extended into the medium ranges, requirements for fi ve-day track predictions are being contemplated. However, a tropical cyclone may form, intensify, and move a long distance in five days to become a serious threat to maritime activities and coastal locations.
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Springer, Cory A. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1994-06);The short term teleconnections arising from an individual tropical cyclone in the western Pacific were examined using a global operational data assimilation system and forecast model. In the ...
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