Predictability associated with extratropical transition of tropical cyclones as defined by operational ensemble prediction systems
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The poleward movement of a decaying tropical cyclone often results in a rapidly-moving, explosively-deepening midlatitude cyclone. The re-intensification of the remnant tropical cyclone as an extratropical cyclone depends on the phasing between the decaying tropical cyclone and a midlatitude environment that is favorable for midlatitude cyclogenesis (Klein et al. 2001). Because of the typical rapid translation speed (Jones et al. 2003) of the decaying tropical cyclone, accurate extended-range prediction of the phasing between the remnant tropical circulation and the midlatitude environment into which it is moving is critical.
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Downstream Development Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific Harr, Patrick A.; Dea, Jonathon M. (2009);The movement of a tropical cyclone into the midlatitudes involves interactions among many complex physical processes over a variety of space and time scales. Furthermore, the extratropical transition (ET) of a tropical ...
Stubblefield, Cedrick L. (Monterey California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2005-03);Microwave satellite imagery is a valuable tool for the observation of mature tropical cyclones. This study examined the application of microwave data to the extratropical transition (ET) process. During ET a tropical cyclone ...
Predictability Associated with the Downstream Impacts of the Extratropical Transition (ET) of Tropical Cyclones Harr, Patrick A.; Anwender, Doris; Jones, Sarah (2006);The poleward movement of a decaying tropical cyclone (TC) often results in a rapidly-moving, explosively-deepening midlatitude cyclone. The re-intensification of the remnant TC as an extratropical cyclone depends on ...