Possible Roles of Atlantic Circulations on the Weakening Indian Monsoon Rainfall - ENSO Relationship

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Authors
Chang, C.-P.
Harr, Patrick
Ju, Jianhua
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2001-06
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Abstract
Since the 1970s, the inverse relationship between the Indian monsoon rainfall and the El Nin˜o–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has weakened considerably. The cause for this breakdown is shown to be most likely the strengthening and poleward shift of the jet stream over the North Atlantic. These changes have led to the recent development of a significant correlation between wintertime western European surface air temperatures and the ensuing monsoon rainfall. This western Europe winter signal extended eastward over most of northern Eurasia and remained evident in spring, such that the effect of the resulting meridional temperature contrast was able to disrupt the influence of ENSO on the monsoon.
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Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, pp. 2376-2380, June 2001
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Meteorology
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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