Topic 2.0: Tropical cyclone formation and extratropical transition
Harr, Patrick A.
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In this section, progress since ITWC-VI on research, observations and forecasting of tropical cyclone formation and extratropical transition is summarized. While tropical cyclone formation and extratropical transition are stages at opposite ends of the tropical cyclone lifecycle, significant lack of understanding remains in relation to processes associated with each stage. Formation and extratropical transition involve interactions among physical processes that vary over multiple space and time scales. Additional, relatively few, consistent in situ observations of each stage exist. Tropical cyclone formation often occurs over remote regions that do not contain standard observation capabilities or are out of range of tropical cyclone observation program assets. While extratropoical transition may occur downstream from data rich continental regions, the stage is rarely targeted for in situ observations as the storm is no longer a landfall threat.
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Simulations of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones: Phasing between the Upper-Level Trough and Tropical Cyclones Ritchie, Elizabeth A.; Elsberrry, Russell L. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2007);Whether the tropical cyclone remnants will become a significant extratropical cyclone during the reintensification stage of extratropical transition is a complex problem because of the uncertainty in the tropical cyclone, ...
The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones: Forecast Challenges, Current Understanding, and Future Directions Jones, Sarah C.; Harr, Patrick A.; Abraham, Jim; Bosart, Lance F.; Bowyer, Peter J.; Evans, Jenni L.; Hanley, Deborah E.; Hanstrum, Barry N.; Hart, Robert E.; Lalaurette, François; Sinclair, Mark R.; Smith, Roger K.; Thorncroft, Chris (2003-12);A significant number of tropical cyclones move into the midlatitudes and transform into extratropical cyclones. This process is generally referred to as extratropical transition (ET). During ET a cyclone frequently ...
Observations of a Nondeveloping Tropical Disturbance in the Western North Pacific during TCS-08 (2008) Penny, Andrew B.; Harr, Patrick A.; Bell, Michael M. (2015-07);Large uncertainty still remains in determining whether a tropical cloud cluster will develop into a tropical cyclone. During The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional ...