Peace through trade an analysis of the effect of domestic trade on international conflict and civil war
Sollfrank, Horst D.
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This thesis examines how different levels of domestic trade affect the intensity of conflict within and between states. Specifically, the thesis utilizes a cross-sectional analysis of pooled time-series data, both previously collected conflict data sets and published economic data, to test the hypothesis. The data is analyzed by conducting a correlation analysis followed by linear regression of the independent and dependent variables, controlling for certain variances between the cases by utilizing control variables. The findings reveal that high levels of domestic trade decrease a state's propensity to initiate an inter-state dispute or to fall into civil war. The policy implications of the findings are that advancing domestic trade will have the greatest statistical effect on decreasing a state's propensity to initiate an inter-state dispute or fall into civil war.
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