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dc.contributor.advisorHalladay, Carolyn
dc.contributor.advisorLewis, Ted
dc.contributor.authorSaylors, Eric
dc.dateDec-15
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-17T18:38:10Z
dc.date.available2016-02-17T18:38:10Z
dc.date.issued2015-12
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/47862
dc.descriptionApproved for public release; distribution is unlimiteden_US
dc.description.abstractCurrently, fire department performance is measured in terms of tangible loss reduction, meaning lower dollar losses of tangible structures and contents equate with greater performance. This metric is flawed because it ignores the unmeasured performance of a fire department that saves nearby at-risk properties and businesses. Therefore, this thesis proposes a new metric: the saved ratio metric. It includes damages and business losses that may have occurred but did not, thanks to the suppression actions of an effective fire department. The saved ratio is defined as the ratio of the value that was saved at an incident versus the value of what was at risk. The total value of what was saved is defined as the total amount of what was at risk minus the total amount of what was lost, and total at risk is quantified using a new network model of at-risk property. Adjacent at-risk property is cast into a network model whereby structures are nodes and adjacency or direct contact is represented by links. Three major conclusions can be drawn from this study. First, the methodology of the real estate and economic industries can be used to quantify tangible and intangible value for structure fires. Second, network theory can be used to map the potential spread of a fire, allowing the user to identify which structures were saved or lost. Third, it is possible to estimate the return on investment added to the community from a fire suppression response model.en_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California: Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owner.en_US
dc.titleQuantifying a negative: how homeland security adds valueen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.departmentNational Security Affairs
dc.contributor.departmentNational Security Affairsen_US
dc.subject.authorfireen_US
dc.subject.authorpublic safetyen_US
dc.subject.authorfire lossen_US
dc.subject.authorfire savesen_US
dc.subject.authorfire valueen_US
dc.subject.authorvalue addeden_US
dc.subject.authorquantifying the negativeen_US
dc.subject.authorreturn on investmenten_US
dc.subject.authorsave ratioen_US
dc.subject.authorSacramento Fire Departmenten_US
dc.description.recognitionOutstanding Thesisen_US
dc.description.serviceCaptain, Sacramento City Fire Departmenten_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Arts in Security Studies (Homeland Security and Defense)en_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineSecurity Studies (Homeland Security and Defense)en_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US


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