Significant pre-accession factors predicting success or failure during a Marine Corps officer’s initial service obligation

Download
Author
Johnson, Jacob A.
Date
2015-12Advisor
Bacolod, Marigee
Second Reader
Myung, Noah
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Increasing diversity and equal opportunity in the military is a congressional and executive priority. At the same time, improving recruiting practices is a priority of the commandant of the Marine Corps. In an effort to provide information to the Marine Corps that may improve recruiting practice and enable retention of a higher quality and more diverse officer corps, probit econometric models are estimated to identify significant factors an officer candidate possesses prior to accession in predicting the probability of career success, as determined by career designation, and the probability of career failure, as determined by separation under unfavorable conditions and receiving a legal action while commissioned. Results showed demographic characteristics, such as race and marital status, significantly predict career success and career failure. In addition, officers with reenrollment waivers for withdrawal or dismissal from OCS, USNA, and NROTC proved less likely to be selected for career designation and more likely to be separated under unfavorable conditions. Based on the findings, the Marine Corps should reevaluate whether to grant reenrollment waivers to officer candidates, should improve data collection, and strongly consider using non-cognitive assessment during the officer candidate screening process. The researcher also recommends ways to improve the models used in this study.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
Related items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
Different success rates and associated factors at three levels of career progression among US Marine Corps officers
Hamm, James J. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1993-09);Increasing retention of quality minority officers is a high priority of the Marine Corps. Determination of any differences in survivorship among racial and ethnic groups and any factors associated with those differences ... -
An analysis of factors predicting graduation at United States Marine Corps Officer Candidates School
McNeill, Donald B. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2002-09);All officers commissioned in the Marine Corps except those from the Naval Academy are required to successfully complete an intense screening program at Officer Candidates School (OCS). The Marine Corps is attempting to ... -
Significant factors in predicting promotion to Major, Lieutenant Colonel, and Colonel in the United States Marine Corps
Hoffman, Joel M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008-03);Multiple factors influence a Marine officer's probability of promotion. Currently, MMOA-4 counselors are not able to provide career advice based on statistical analysis of the multitude of variables that could be significant ...