Naval Postgraduate School
The Brazilian Air Force health system workforce-needs estimation using system dynamics
09Mar_Ramez.pdf (12.95Mb)Abstract
The demand for physician manpower is a function of the demand on the entire health system, which varies as a function of user demographic characteristics. The recruit quantity and the departure behavior over time cause oscillations in the actual quantity and in the services system quality. These aspects are related with each other and exogenous systems lead the health system to behave as a complex structure. This thesis defines a preliminary systemdynamics model that analyzes and forecasts Brazilian Air Force health-system physician demand and its estimated effect on the required number of medical professionals.
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