North Korea’s Nuclear Futures: Implications for Peace and Security, Project Final Report
Wit, Joel S.
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The US-Korea Institute (USKI) at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) is pleased to report on the activities and outcomes of our North Korea’s Nuclear Futures project made possible through grant funding from the Naval Postgraduate School’s Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction (PASCC) in the amount of $225,533.52 from June 5, 2014 to November 29, 2015. We thank PASCC for its generous support, which enabled us to contribute to efforts to analyze the future of North Korea’s nuclear deterrent and to encourage work on this topic in the United States and overseas, specifically in Northeast Asia. Our project was designed to examine the emergence of North Korea as a small nuclear power, a process that has been underway since 2009, if not earlier. When the project was first proposed, North Korea had just conducted two long-range rocket tests in 2012 and its third nuclear test in February 2013, highlighting that trend. However, it was unclear where it would lead in the future, namely the size of North Korea’s nuclear deterrent, Pyongyang’s thinking on its nuclear strategy, regional and international implications of a growing nuclear force and possible policy responses of the United States, its allies and the international community.
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