Assessing the operational readiness of Landing Craft Air Cushion vessels using statistical modeling
Crawford, Frederick H.
MetadataShow full item record
A fleet of 40 Landing Craft Air Cushion (LCAC) vessels is managed by Assault Craft Unit-5 located at Camp Pendleton, CA. LCACs are used to transport weapons systems, equipment, cargo, and personnel of the assault element of the Marine Air/Ground Task Force from ship to shore and across the beach. It is important that the Commanding Officer be able to forecast, with a reasonable degree of accuracy, the number of LCACs that will be available for tasking a fixed number of days in advance. As the LCAC fleet ages its time in maintenance increases, which in turn increases the uncertainty of achieving availability targets. This thesis examines factors that contribute to the availability of LCACs on a daily basis. Using logistic regression, a forecast model is developed from past data on availability and maintenance that has a prediction standard error of approximately two to three craft. The model can be used not only to forecast the number of available LCACs, but also to assist in planning and scheduling to better manage availability.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Millar, Richard C.; Olwell, David H. (2011);An earlier nonparametric statistical study of GE F414 engine removals from operational F/A-18 aircraft in US Navy service provided insights into the lifetime patterns of engine removals for various causes. Inspection of ...
A FURTHER EXAMINATION OF POTENTIAL OBSERVATION NETWORK DESIGN WITH MESOSCALE ENSEMBLE SENSITIVITIES IN COMPLEX TERRAIN Wile, Sean M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2013-03);Recent expansion in availability of stand-alone atmospheric observing sensors introduces the question of where placement maximizes gain in forecast accuracy. This study examined how sensitivity analysis and observation ...
Harris, Michael J. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2014-09);Over the past 20 years, there have been many advancements in the process of weather. Specific contributions to improvements in the forecast process come from improvements in numerical model forecast guidance and the timely ...