The Lost Caravan : the rise and fall of Al Qaeda in Iraq, 2003--2007
McClure, Sean M.
McCormick, Gordon H.
Gregg, Heather S.
MetadataShow full item record
In 2006, a coalition intelligence report was writing off portions of Iraq as being lost to the control of the U.S. led coalition and the government of Iraq. Al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) a local manifestation of a transnational movement was at its peak, while the U.S. led coalition was attempting to remove itself from the Hobbesian violence raging throughout the country in the forms of a civil war and an insurgency. Yet, within a year, AQI was a mere shadow of its former self, rejected by the Sunni population and on the run, hounded by coalition forces. This thesis analyzes the many factors that contributed to AQI's demise. Beginning with the premise that Iraq's Sunnis and AQI developed along two distinctly different paths, this thesis traces AQI's demise to disparate cultural and ideological differences. With this rift in place, additional factors widened the gap between the Sunni and AQI, further accelerating the group's decline. This thesis then goes on to develop a theory on insurgent/popular alignment, offering insights into how insurgents build support with the population and how the U.S. Special Forces community can build popular support for Unconventional Warfare efforts as a third party to an insurgency.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Analysis of analytic models for the effect of Insurgency/Counterinsurgency Operations on the general population Damalas, Kimberly A. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008-06);This thesis proposes and analyzes mathematical descriptive models of the effect of Insurgency/Counterinsurgency Operations on the population of a nation experiencing stability operations. The model is a system of ...
Berger, Ted; Paul Choate; Gonzales, Michael; Liou, Christine; Nguyen, Brian; Park, Eugene; Perkins, Gary; Peterson, Duncan; Russell, Tony; Shebatka, Eric; Tahimic, Rick; Whalin, Greg (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-09); NPS-SE-06-005In January 2006, the San Diego Naval Postgraduate Cohort was tasked to evaluate a FORCEnet scenario which involved a Humanitarian Support Mission which escalated into an Expeditionary Warfare Mission in and around the ...
McGovern, Susan C. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2001-06);To achieve information superiority in a coalition environment the U. S. has to seamlessly integrate coalition members, both NATO and Non-NATO, into its command and control processes along all echelons of military operations. ...