Robust parameter design for agent-based simulation models with application in a cultural geography model

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Authors
Wiedemann, Michael
Subjects
Advisors
Johnson, Rachel T.
Date of Issue
2010-06
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Robust parameter design (RPD), which has been extensively used in industrial and system design, is used in this thesis to determine where to set controllable factors to achieve the desired response in a social dynamic-driven agent-based simulation model. Specifically, this thesis focuses on the agent-based cultural geography model (CG) of the Helmand Province, Afghanistan, developed by Training and Doctrine Center Monterey. To the author's knowledge, this thesis is the first application of RPD to an irregular warfare (IW) model that incorporates social behavior and population dynamics. Robust parameter settings for CG response were identified using a four-step experimental design and analysis methodology. Results of the developed and applied analysis and robustness study revealed important insights into the CG model. In addition to the robust parameter settings suggested by the analysis, an outcome of the simulation experiments was to illustrate a path that enables military decision makers a method for investigating the population response for different courses of action within the IW theater.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xviii, 71 p. ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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