Validation of rational deterrence theory : analysis of U.S. government and adversary risk propensity and relative emphasis on gain or loss
Taquechel, Eric F.
MetadataShow full item record
This thesis develops a rational deterrence case study risk elicitation framework to assess the risk propensity and relative emphasis on loss/gain of the U.S. and various adversaries involved in historical and current deterrence games. This framework is used to elicit qualitative historical information that supports a notional Deterrence Efficacy Model. This qualitative approach is further supported by a basic game-theoretic approach predicting the efficacy of deterrence given certain actor risk profiles. Recommendations as to the efficacy of deterrence for current U.S. national security threats are offered using the proposed Deterrence Efficacy Model, quantitative framework, and supporting methodology.
RightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owner.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
A Strategic Response to Terrorism A Framework for U.S. Policy; Strategic Insight: v.2, issue 2 (February 2003) Smith, James M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2003-02);Deterrence by denial is the ultimate objective of the terrorism response framework. Although most counter-terror strategies begin with deterrence, their aim is to prevent an attack, not to deter the terrorist strategy. ...
Pjetraj, Walter M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1995-09);This thesis critically analyzes a prominent theoretical framework concerning the conditions necessary for successful deterrence and conflict-containment, with special attention to historical antecedents to the current ...
Bellon, Timothy E. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School, 1999-12);The face of conflict is changing. The breakup of the former Soviet Union has changed the balance of power from a bi-polar world to a uni-polar one. This change in the world's power structure has presented the United States ...