Naval Postgraduate School
Forecasting United States Marine Corps Selected Reserve end strength
10Mar_Emery.pdf (158.6Kb)Abstract
This thesis developed a manpower model to forecast Selected Marine Corps Reserve end strength by forecasting losses with exponential smoothing. The data came from the Reserve Manpower Model (legacy model) and the results were compared with the historical strength data to determine if the research model provided more desirable results. This model is specific to the Marine Corps Selected Reserve. The proposed model's predictions were closer to actual strength numbers than the legacy model's predictions were, as measured by standard deviation and range.
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