The future of science and engineering
Hamming, Richard W.
MetadataShow full item record
It is said that there are more than one hundred ways of predicting the future, which suggests that most of them must not be very effective! The three obvious ways are: (1) study history, (2) use current trends, and (3) use your imagination. History tends not to repeat itself since the situation is never the same, but again it does tend to repeat because it is still the same humans who are creating history. Santayana said, "Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it." It is perhaps an exaggeration, but does have an element of truth in it. The second tool, measuring current trends, is hard because the trend is essentially a difference over a short time and is hence very subject to small errors as well as local chance phenomena. The third tool, the use of the imagination, I have found to be the most valuable in the long run. If the method is to be at all effective one must think hard, reject one's first opinions, and struggle for basic clarity.
Includes manuscript annotations.from Richard W. Hamming collection (NPS-018), Naval Postgraduate School. Papers and Speeches.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Campbell, Jeffrey William (Monterey California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1988);Part of the N.E. Pacific was studied to evaluate and use altimetric data from the Navy Geodetic Satellite GEOSAT. The zero-order accuracy of the major GEOSAT geophysical data record (GDR) channels was verified, and occasional ...
Performance evaluation of the AN USQ / 146 Jammer over uncoded slow FH/MFSK military communication systems and the IEEE 802.1 1a wireless LAN commecial communication standard Dalakos, Aristeidis (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School., 2003);On the modern battlefield communication is critical. Individual units require a steady flow of accurate information between headquarters and field units to remain effective. Just as important, denying the enemy the same ...
Performance evaluation of the AN/USQ - 146 jammer over uncoded slow FH/MFSK military communication systems and the IEEE 802.11a wireless LAN commercial communication standard Dalakos, Aristeidis (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2003-09);On the modern battlefield communication is critical. Individual units require a steady flow of accurate information between headquarters and field units to remain effective. Just as important, denying the enemy the same ...