Improving the Integrated Training Center (ITC) model to achieve more accurate time to train estimates

Download
Author
Dummar, Joe K.
Date
2011-06Advisor
Seagren, Chad
Second Reader
Lucas, Thomas W.
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
The F-35B Joint Strike Fighter is critical to the future of Marine Corps fixed-wing aviation. The ability to man the Joint Strike Fighter with properly trained pilots is as important as the development and acquisition of the aircraft itself. This thesis examines the Integrated Training Center (ITC) model, which simulates the training process in order to determine expected time to train for Marine pilots trained at Eglin Air Force Base, Florida. First, we demonstrate that weather is an important factor in the Integrated Training Center model. Legal and financial constraints restrict modification of the ITC model, so we create a replica that is statistically similar to the flight management process found in that model. We then modify the replica model to more accurately reflect reality. This improved model uses a continuous time Markov process to model weather. We show that the independent weather assumption in the ITC model is inappropriate. We recommend modifying the ITC model to reflect good weather as a resource necessary to conduct a flight, and one that is only intermittently available. Ultimately, these tools will be provided to decision makers so that they may implement these changes to make better decisions.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
Related items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
Analysis of performance characteristics of the Naval Postgraduate School MWR-05XP Mobile Weather Radar
Knorr, Jeffrey B. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2005); NPS-EC-05-005In 1998, the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) Center for Interdisciplinary Remotely Piloted Aircraft Studies (CIRPAS) and the NPS Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering (ECE Dept.) collaborated on the acquisition ... -
Prototype development of machine-to-machine operational nephanalysis
Schiefelbein, Jon M. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-03);Weather is essentially geo-spatial data that can be integrated with Geographic Information Systems (GIS). In this research a small prototype is designed and developed in order to demonstrate the basic capabilities of ... -
Verification of the AFWA 3-Element Severe Weather Forecast Algorithm
Pagliaro, Daniel E. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008-03);Accurate severe thunderstorm forecasts are critical to providing sufficient leadtime to protect lives and property. The Air Force Weather Agency has developed a 3-Element Severe Weather Forecast Algorithm that when applied ...