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dc.contributor.advisorSeagren, Chad
dc.contributor.authorTamayo, Bill C.
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-14T17:46:35Z
dc.date.available2012-03-14T17:46:35Z
dc.date.issued2011-03
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/5738
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this thesis is to analyze historical United States Marine Corps enlisted attrition behavior and apply time series forecasting techniques by grade and Years of Service in order to identify methods to improve manpower analysts' ability to effectively forecast attrition behavior. This study compared the results of one to five-year Moving Average models and the results of one to five-year Weighted Moving Average models based on two Measures of Effectiveness, Mean Square Error and the Mean Absolute Percent Error. The results of the Friedman test indicate statistical significance of the results in relation to the Mean Square Error of the one to two-year Moving Average models. This thesis demonstrates that in most cases, a simple one-year Moving Average more effectively estimates attrition behavior than the other Moving Average or Weighted Moving Average models analyzed.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/forecastingenlis109455738
dc.format.extentxviii, 39 p. : ill. ;en_US
dc.publisherMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.en_US
dc.subject.lcshManpoweren_US
dc.subject.lcshTime-series analysisen_US
dc.subject.lcshForecastingen_US
dc.titleForecasting enlisted attrition in the United States Marine Corps by grade and years of serviceen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderArkes, Jeremy
dc.contributor.corporateNaval Postgraduate School (U.S.).
dc.contributor.schoolGraduate School of Business and Public Policy (GSBPP)
dc.identifier.oclc720401411
etd.thesisdegree.nameM.S.en_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineManagementen_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
etd.verifiednoen_US
dc.description.distributionstatementApproved for public release; distribution is unlimited.


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