Countering piracy with the next generation piracy performance surface model
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Authors
Slootmaker, Leslie A.
Subjects
Advisors
Regnier, Eva
Hansen, James A.
Date of Issue
2011-03
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
er of the United States Naval Forces Central Command and Combined Maritime Forces in Bahrain. The Next-generation PPS (PPSN) model uses simulation to provide as output, a forecast of relative pirate presence probability over time. Effective March 1, 2011, the name of PPSN has been changed to the Pirate Attack Risk Surface (PARS) model. This research includes interviews with counter-piracy forces that led to recommended changes in the PPSN model. In addition, using robust and realistic experimental designs, this research identifies the significant intelligence factors of the PPSN model. This gathered information is being used to refine these input variables to achieve maximum performance of the PPSN model. This research also unveiled input variables that are influential in the computing memory requirements and program runtime. This information is being used to focus efforts on setting these variables to realistic levels without sacrificing the model's efficiency and effectiveness. Finally, the results of this thesis allow for quick turnaround of updates to the PPSN model in response to gathered intelligence.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Operations Research
Organization
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.)
Identifiers
NPS Report Number
Sponsors
Funder
Format
xxii, 77 p. : col. ill. (4 maps) ;
Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.