Evaluation And Documentation of Marine Corps Manpower Simulation Model
MetadataShow full item record
Manpower Studies and Analysis Branch (MSAB) developed an agent-based simulation with network architecture and vacancy-based promotion system prototype, the Manpower Simulation Model (MSM). Written in JavaTM, the prototype model provides the Marine Corps with forecasting, scenario analysis, and policy evaluation capabilities that are timely, accurate, and integrated under a single framework. (Garrick, 2014). This work evaluated the source code and optimized for efficiency wherever possible, provided documentation for the code where necessary, and wrote a user’s manual for executing the model. A prototype graphical user interface (GUI) was also developed. Preliminary sensitivity analysis was performed on the model using an advanced design of experiment (DOE). Important factors affecting measures such as gains, losses, retention, and lateral moves were identified. Additional validation analysis was performed to evaluate MSM’s predictive power when compared with historical data. There it was found that for some years the model performed well (within ±20% of actual values), whereas for other years the model’s predications were very far off. It was not clear whether this was due to the model, the input data, or uncontrollable factors, such as unforeseen operations. Overall, the model’s predications for end strength tended to be quite accurate.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Information management system development for the characterization and analysis of human error in Naval Aviation maintenance related mishaps Wood, Brian P. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2000-09);The purpose of this thesis is to develop a prototype safety information management tool to capture human error in Naval Aviation maintenance mishaps. The Human Factors Analysis and Classification System-Maintenance Extension ...
Prototype supervisory and summary displays for the Advanced Tomahawk Weapon Control System (ATWCS) Moore, Matthew Guy (Monterey, California : Naval Postgraduate School, 1996-03);The problem addressed in this research is the need for supervisory or system summary displays for the Advanced Tomahawk Weapons Control System (ATWCS). These displays are needed to accurately depict the current system state ...
Information management system development for the investigation, reporting, and analysis of human error in Naval Aviation Maintenance Nelson, Douglas B. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2001-09);The purpose of this research is to evaluate and refine a safety information management system that will facilitate data collection, organization, query, analysis and reporting of maintenance errors that contribute to Naval ...