MODELING FIRST-TERM ENLISTMENT COMPLETION FOR THE SELECTED MARINE CORPS RESERVE
Fletcher, Christopher K.
Anglemyer, Andrew T.
Whitaker, Lyn R.
MetadataShow full item record
Military retention studies seek to better explain the factors affecting a service member’s decision to complete contractual service agreements. For the purposes of meeting the national security needs of the nation, these studies inform decision makers about recruiting and sustaining a ready and capable force. This thesis explores the significant factors that predict first-term enlistment completion for non-prior service (NPS) enlisted Marines in the Selected Marine Corps Reserve (SMCR). The data available from the Total Force Data Warehouse (TFDW) and provided by Manpower and Reserve Affairs (M&RA), Quantico, Virginia, contains information about first-term NPS enlisted Marines as they progress in the SMCR. A cohort of Marines who enlisted in the SMCR in fiscal year 2009 is selected and tracked for a period of eight years to determine a binary outcome of successful completion. Utilizing binary logistic and random forest regression, two distinct models are developed to determine the significant features indicative of successful completion of first-term enlistments. The first model examines information available prior to entering the SMCR. The second model examines data available prior to enlistment and data obtained as the individual completes obligated service. The end state is to select the best model fit for each distinct model to inform decision makers about first-term enlistment completion.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Brockert, Nicholas D. (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-03);Modernization of the military retirement system, beginning in 2018, left many Marines with an important decision to make about their futures. They were allowed 12 months to choose whether it was in their best interest to ...
Mcfarland, Waverly C. Jr. (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2018-06);This study concerning retention of Marines serving in SelRes (Selected Reserve) units is conducted at the request of the Retention Analysis Division, Manpower & Reserve Affairs, Headquarters Marine Corps. Through developing ...
Performance of Navy service members erroneously enlisted as a result of the misnorming of ASVAB 6 and 7 Boyer, John F. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 1981-06);In January 1976, the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) was adopted as the single DoD test to determine qualification for enlistment and eligibility for assignment to military occupations. Subsequent to ...