POST–FIRST TERM ENLISTMENT RETENTION ANALYSIS FOR THE SELECTED MARINE CORPS RESERVE
Mcfarland, Waverly C. Jr.
Anglemyer, Andrew T.
Whitaker, Lyn R.
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This study concerning retention of Marines serving in SelRes (Selected Reserve) units is conducted at the request of the Retention Analysis Division, Manpower & Reserve Affairs, Headquarters Marine Corps. Through developing career milestone-based logistic regression models aimed at predicting the likelihood of an individual Marine being retained, we can identify significant factors that lead to continued service. Significant predictor variables common to each of the logistic regression models for the career milestones include total years credited toward retirement and age. These more senior individuals have likely made a career decision in continuing their military service, which explains the consistently positive effect on retention. Marines with prior active duty service, which often correlates to an increase in age and total years credited toward retirement, exhibit significantly better retention than their counterparts for the latter milestones. Deployment experience shows a consistently positive effect on retention across milestones. This suggests that Marines serving in SelRes units view deployment opportunities as favorable, and even upon completion of only single deployment, they are much more likely to continue their military service. This study validated previous research concerning similar subject matter and provides a means to forecast retention for up to 12 years in the future.
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