An exploratory analysis on the effects of information superiority on battle outcomes

Download
Author
Pee, Eng Yau.
Date
2002-03Advisor
Lucas, Thomas W.
Second Reader
Perry, Walter L.
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Visions of future warfighting, such as Joint Vision 2020, emphasize using new technologies to obtain and exploit information advantages to achieve new levels of effectiveness in joint warfighting. Unfortunately, our warfighting models are notoriously poor at capturing the effects of information on battle outcomes. Moreover, traditional measures of effectiveness (MOEs) usually ignore the effects of information and decision making on battle outcomes. The Department of the Navy and other DoD organizations have tasked RAND to create a framework for developing measures and metrics to assess the impact of C4ISR systems and procedures on battle outcomes. In order to quantify the effects of information and decision making on battle outcomes, RAND built a deterministic model and hypothesized a scenario involving the search for, and destruction of, a time-critical target (TCT). This thesis extends their work by making the simulation stochastic and exploring practical issues such as: (i) the effects of improved C4ISR systems and procedures on battle outcomes; (ii) which messaging and data processing delay reductions give the greatest improvements in kill probability; (iii) which command and control architecture provides the highest kill probability.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.Collections
Related items
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
-
Maritime military decision making in environments of extreme information ambiguity an initial exploration
Reeves, Andrew T. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2006-06);This thesis examines the following hypothesis: Through the combined use of common training and collaborative planning, a decision maker may sufficiently alleviate the harmful effects of an environment of information so ... -
Advanced Concepts and Applications for Predictive Analytics in the Maritime Domain
Johnson, Bonnie W. (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate SchoolMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2019-12); NPS-19-N019-BNaval tactical operations could take a significant leap in progress with the aid of a real-time automated predictive analytics capability that provides predictions of second and third order effects of possible courses of ... -
Battle Management Aids: Leveraging Artificial Intelligence for Tactical Decisions
Johnson, Bonnie W.; Green, John M.; Kendall, Walter; Miller, Scot A.; Godin, Arkady A.; Zhao, Ying (Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate SchoolMonterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School., 2021);This study will explore the needs and requirements for battle management aids that leverage artificial intelligence methods to enhance tactical decisions. The Navy has recognized the need for tactical decision aids to ...