A cost estimation model for Commander Naval Air Forces Pacific's TACAIR F/A-18S Aviation Depot Level repair costs

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Authors
Duma, David Paul.
Subjects
Advisors
Jones, Lawrence R.
Date of Issue
2001-12
Date
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
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Abstract
The goal of this thesis is to develop a model that Commander Naval Air Forces Pacific (CNAP) can use to estimate future TACAIR F/A-18 Aviation Depot Level Repair (AVDLR) costs. The thesis is divided into three sections. The first section discusses the methodology used to create a cost estimation model. The second and third sections provide the results of the modelαs outcomes and compares and analyzes those results to the actual results. The modelαs estimate was 19% below Fiscal Year 2001αs actual costs. This shortfall was caused by a 27% increase in Navy C modelαs AVDLR costs, which is more than twice their average annual cost increase. Since Navy C models represent over 60% of CNAPαs total TACAIR F/A-18 AVDLR costs, this unexpected increase in costs is the major contributor to the modelαs 19% difference from its estimate. In order to correct this difference in the future it is recommended that the model shift from estimating yearly costs to estimating quarterly costs to become a more accurate cost-estimating model.
Type
Thesis
Description
Series/Report No
Department
Management
Organization
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NPS Report Number
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Format
xiii, 49 p. ;
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This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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