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dc.contributor.advisorFreeman, Michael E.
dc.contributor.authorOrozco Jimenez, Luis Enrique
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-13T22:46:46Z
dc.date.available2019-02-13T22:46:46Z
dc.date.issued2018-12
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10945/61236
dc.descriptionApproved for public release. distribution is unlimiteden_US
dc.description.abstractWhat are the conditions and factors affecting intrastate conflict recurrence? This thesis tests the effect of the type of conflict outcome, the use of peacekeeping forces, and the presence of lootable resources on the recurrence of intrastate conflict. Using the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) datasets, this thesis performs a linear regression analysis for internal conflicts from 1946 to 2014. Results confirm that the risk of conflict recurrence reduces over time. Peace agreements show a lower likelihood of conflict recurrence than military victories. The thesis finds ambiguous results for lootable and non-lootable resources. Lootable diamonds, opium/poppy, and petroleum correlate with more conflict recurrence, whereas non-lootable diamonds correlates with less recurrence. Coca, cannabis, and opium/poppy production yielded ambiguous results. The presence of peacekeeping forces does not demonstrate a statistically significant effect on conflict recurrence. Analyzing the conflict in Colombia, this work finds that illicit drugs and onshore oil production have led to conflict recurrence. The study also shows that peace agreements have helped Colombia avoid conflict recurrence. Overall, the study shows some dynamics of conflict recurrence and provides new venues for future research.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://archive.org/details/intrastateconfli1094561236
dc.publisherMonterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is reserved by the copyright owner.en_US
dc.titleINTRASTATE CONFLICT RECURRENCE: LESSONS FOR COLOMBIAen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.contributor.secondreaderDarnton, Christopher N.
dc.contributor.departmentDefense Analysis (DA)
dc.subject.authorintrastate conflict recurrenceen_US
dc.subject.authorlootable resourcesen_US
dc.subject.authorColombiaen_US
dc.subject.authorpeacekeepingen_US
dc.subject.authorpeace agreementen_US
dc.subject.authormilitary victoryen_US
dc.subject.authorillicit drugs productionen_US
dc.subject.authorcocaen_US
dc.subject.authorcannabisen_US
dc.subject.authoropium/poppyen_US
dc.subject.authordiamondsen_US
dc.subject.authorpetroleumen_US
dc.description.serviceColonel, Air Force, Colombiaen_US
etd.thesisdegree.nameMaster of Science in Defense Analysis (Irregular Warfare)en_US
etd.thesisdegree.levelMastersen_US
etd.thesisdegree.disciplineDefense Analysis (Irregular Warfare)en_US
etd.thesisdegree.grantorNaval Postgraduate Schoolen_US
dc.identifier.thesisid32345


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