EXPLORATORY SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE BLUE-COLLAR AND WHITE-COLLAR CIVILIAN EMPLOYEE ATTRITION FACTORS
Urech, Anthony C.
Whitaker, Lyn R.
Geiser, Matthew T.
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A key enabler of military readiness includes civilian employees who work for the Department of Defense (DoD). To sustain military readiness, it is in the government’s interest to understand DoD civilian workforce attrition patterns and attrition factors. The intent of this research is to better understand DoD civilian employee personnel factors that might influence attrition. To meet this intent, we use survival analysis based on calendar year 2009 new hires with covariates found in a DoD civilian’s personnel record, as well as with covariates found in applicable employees’ prior military active component or reserve component records. In comparison of blue-collar and white-collar employees, we see there are very similar survival trends and retired military service members have the highest survivability. However, we do find that younger blue-collar males (29-years-old or less) have a higher survival probability than younger white-collar males, and blue-collar females have a higher survival probability than white-collar females. At the aggregate level, the probability of employee survivability increased among employees with families, higher salaries (greater than $50,000) and higher education (associate degree, bachelor’s degree, or master’s degree). Finally, employees who are male, who are between the ages of 35 and 54, or who work for the Navy, have an increased survivability.
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