Naval Postgraduate School
Dudley Knox Library
NPS Dudley Knox Library
View Item 
  •   Calhoun Home
  • Theses and Dissertations
  • 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items
  • View Item
  •   Calhoun Home
  • Theses and Dissertations
  • 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items
  • View Item
  • How to search in Calhoun
  • My Accounts
  • Ask a Librarian
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Browse

All of CalhounCollectionsThis Collection

My Account

LoginRegister

Statistics

Most Popular ItemsStatistics by CountryMost Popular Authors

ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF CONDUCT WAIVERS ON U.S. ARMY ENLISTED SOLDIER FIRST-TERM ATTRITION

Thumbnail
Download
Icon19Dec_Hassin_Kelsey.pdf (545.3Kb)
Download Record
Download to EndNote/RefMan (RIS)
Download to BibTex
Author
Hassin, Kelsey
Date
12
Advisor
Tick, Simona L.
Yoshida, Ruriko
Metadata
Show full item record
Abstract
In fiscal year (FY) 2018 the Army failed to meet its recruitment goals for the first time in over a decade. The missed recruiting goal suggests that the Army is facing an increasingly challenging recruiting environment. Compounding the Army's recruitment challenge is a first-term attrition problem. The purpose of our research is to gain insights on recruitment policies, specifically enlistment conduct waivers, and their effect on retention in order to best support the U.S. Army achieving its Department of Defense mandated end-strength. Our null hypothesis is that there is no difference in the first-term attrition rates of soldiers with conduct waivers compared to soldiers without conduct waivers. This study analyzes U.S. Army solder entry data from FY 2009 through FY 2013. Our five preliminary models are logistic regression, support vector machine, classification and regression trees, random forest, and adaptive boosting. We use confusion matrices and the Area Under the Curve metric to determine the model that most accurately predicts attrition. The random forest and logistic regression models are the best predictors. We fail to reject the null hypothesis and recommend the Army consider eliminating conduct waivers or making them easier to obtain in order to increase the pool of eligible candidates. Our analysis finds that Tailored Adaptive Personality Assessment System scores are important predictors of first-term attrition.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/10945/64180
Collections
  • 1. Thesis and Dissertation Collection, all items

Related items

Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.

  • Thumbnail

    Effects of Moral Conduct Waivers on First-term Attrition of US Army Soldiers 

    Distifeno, Christopher (2008-03-01); NPS-HR-08-008
    This study evaluates the US Army''s policy on granting moral conduct waivers and the effects of moral conduct waivers on the quality of service. The analysis investigates the wartime levels of recruits who were approved ...
  • Thumbnail

    Effects of moral conduct waivers on U.S. Army First-Term enlistment attrition 

    Distifeno, Christopher W. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008-03);
    This study evaluates the U.S. Army's policy on granting moral conduct waivers and the effects of moral conduct waivers on the quality of service. The analysis investigates the wartime levels of recruits who were approved ...
  • Thumbnail

    The next best alternative to an ideal recruit attrition characteristics of recruits with waivers and low educational credentials in the Army 

    Ayhan, Serhat. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2009-03);
    The supply of high quality recruits is limited and services are facing a diminishing recruiting market. Under these constraints, it is important to identify which groups of recruits are the next best alternatives to an ...
NPS Dudley Knox LibraryDUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY
Feedback

411 Dyer Rd. Bldg. 339
Monterey, CA 93943
circdesk@nps.edu
(831) 656-2947
DSN 756-2947

    Federal Depository Library      


Start Your Research

Research Guides
Academic Writing
Ask a Librarian
Copyright at NPS
Graduate Writing Center
How to Cite
Library Liaisons
Research Tools
Thesis Processing Office

Find & Download

Databases List
Articles, Books & More
NPS Theses
NPS Faculty Publications: Calhoun
Journal Titles
Course Reserves

Use the Library

My Accounts
Request Article or Book
Borrow, Renew, Return
Tech Help
Remote Access
Workshops & Tours

For Faculty & Researchers
For International Students
For Alumni

Print, Copy, Scan, Fax
Rooms & Study Spaces
Floor Map
Computers & Software
Adapters, Lockers & More

Collections

NPS Archive: Calhoun
Restricted Resources
Special Collections & Archives
Federal Depository
Homeland Security Digital Library

About

Hours
Library Staff
About Us
Special Exhibits
Policies
Our Affiliates
Visit Us

NPS-Licensed Resources—Terms & Conditions
Copyright Notice

Naval Postgraduate School

Naval Postgraduate School
1 University Circle, Monterey, CA 93943
Driving Directions | Campus Map

This is an official U.S. Navy Website |  Please read our Privacy Policy Notice  |  FOIA |  Section 508 |  No FEAR Act |  Whistleblower Protection |  Copyright and Accessibility |  Contact Webmaster

Export search results

The export option will allow you to export the current search results of the entered query to a file. Different formats are available for download. To export the items, click on the button corresponding with the preferred download format.

A logged-in user can export up to 15000 items. If you're not logged in, you can export no more than 500 items.

To select a subset of the search results, click "Selective Export" button and make a selection of the items you want to export. The amount of items that can be exported at once is similarly restricted as the full export.

After making a selection, click one of the export format buttons. The amount of items that will be exported is indicated in the bubble next to export format.