IS IT TIME TO CHANGE THE ONE-CHINA POLICY?: STATUS QUO REMAINS THE LEAST DANGEROUS OPTION
DiDuca, Bradley T.
Glosny, Michael A.
Meyskens, Covell F.
MetadataShow full item record
The strategic ambiguity inherent in the United States’ One-China policy toward China and Taiwan is largely derived from three joint communiques, the Taiwan Relations Act, President Ronald Reagan’s Six Assurances, and subsequent presidential statements. The geostrategic environment has changed substantially in the intervening period, with the rise of China and its aggressive behavior leading to a more adversarial U.S.-China relationship and a new era of great power competition. In this new environment, this thesis asks: Is the United States’ One-China policy still the best approach to China and Taiwan? After defining the components of the United States’ One-China policy, this thesis analyzes the three primary policy options: 1) abandon commitments to Taiwan, 2) double-down on the commitments to Taiwan, and 3) maintain the status quo. Through systematic analysis, this thesis draws three primary conclusions. First, the relative economic and military power dominance of the United States, coupled with the importance of credibility to regional alliances, render an abandonment of commitments to be unjustified and dangerous. Second, doubling-down on commitments is unnecessarily provocative to a core interest of China, especially considering the formidable defense already possessed by Taiwan. Finally, maintaining the status quo through a careful adherence of the One-China policy remains the best policy option for the United States.
RightsThis publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Morin, John P., II (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2023-03);Arms acquisitions are an important instrument used to carry out a country’s national defense and foreign policy strategies. For nations with rich histories of arms acquisitions, investigating the motives that encourage ...
Kessler, Eric von. (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008-03);The Taiwan issue is a source of possible conflict between Taiwan, the People's Republic of China, and the United States. While China and Taiwan relations have strengthened, the prospect of reunification remains uncertain. ...
Sutton, Austyn A. (Monterey, CA; Naval Postgraduate School, 2023-09);With the dramatic rise in the PRC's economic and military power, concerns are mounting over the possibility of conflict over Taiwan, which could bring the United States and PRC into direct combat. The ability of the U.S. ...