BOOTCAMP ACCESSION TRIMESTER EFFECTS ON PERFORMANCE AND RETENTION
Seagren, Chad W.
Arkes, Jeremy A.
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Each year the Marine Corps recruits more than 30,000 enlistees. In an effort to obtain high-quality enlistees, over 40 percent of enlistees ship to bootcamp during the June, July, August, and September trimester. In this thesis, I analyze the Marine Corps’ accession plan and the relationship between a Marine's accession trimester and time awaiting training, as well as their likelihood to re-enlist after their first term and the probability of attrition prior to completing their first term. Additionally, this study determines if enlistees from the June, July, August, and September trimester outperform enlistees from the other trimesters. I use linear regression models and graphical trend analysis to estimate the relationships. I find that June, July, August, and September enlistees have the highest mean days awaiting training. Furthermore, the phasing approach increases the time awaiting training days for the following trimester. The increase in time awaiting training appears to be negatively associated with the probability of re-enlistment. Graphical analysis suggests the June, July, August, and September enlistees did not perform better than their counterparts; however, the differences in performance measure are minor. The attrition model shows a modest negative correlation between time awaiting training and likelihood of attrition. Considering high-quality enlistees accumulate the most days, the estimated effect is logical.
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