Assessing the Reliability of the Future Years Defense Program and Building a Forecast

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Authors
Hunter, Andrew
Sanders, Greg
Severini, John
Subjects
Advisors
Date of Issue
2021-05-10
Date
05/10/21
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Language
Abstract
Discerning, negotiating, and communicating priorities are necessary tasks for the U.S. defense acquisition system to effectively implement its portion of the National Defense Strategy. One of the Department of Defense's central tools for doing so is the Future Years Defense Plan (FYDP), a projection of the cost and composition of the force over the next 5 years. This project created a dataset and employs it to study FYDP reliability, focusing on two sources of uncertainty: differences in approach between military departments and differences in volatility between those line items in the base budget and those that include contingency operation spending.
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Presentation
Description
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NPS Report Number
SYM-AM-21-055
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Prepared for the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943.
Naval Postgraduate School
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Citation
Distribution Statement
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Rights
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.
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