Analyzing Navy Officer Inventory Projection Using Data Farming
Sibley, Christy N.
MetadataShow full item record
The Navys Strategic Planning and Analysis Directorate (OPNAV N14) uses a complex model to project officer status in the coming years. The Officer Strategic Analysis Model (OSAM) projects officer status using an initial inventory, historical loss rates, and dependent functions for accessions, losses, lateral transfers, and promotions that reflect Navy policy and U.S. law. OSAM is a tool for informing decision makers as they consider potential policy changes, or analyze the impact of policy changes already in place, by generating Navy Officer inventory projections for a specified time horizon. This research explores applications of data farming for potential improvement of OSAM. An analysis of OSAM inventory forecast variations over a large number of scenarios while changing multiple input parameters enables assessment of key inputs. This research explores OSAM through applying the principles of design of experiments, regression modeling, and nonlinear programming. The objectives of this portion of the work include identifying critical parameters, determining a suitable measure of effectiveness, assessing model sensitivities, evaluating performance across a spectrum of loss adjustment factors, and determining appropriate values of key model inputs for future use in forecasting Navy officer inventory.
Approved for public release, distribution unlimited
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Kahraman, Kemal (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2007-03);This thesis examines the relationship between advanced education and the retention and promotion of Army officers. It uses data from the Active Duty Military Master File for Army officers who were commissioned between 1981 ...
Demirel, Turgay. (Monterey, Calif. Naval Postgraduate School, 2002-03);This thesis examines the effect of officer commissioning sources on the retention of officers at two different career points: (1) At the end of the initial service obligation (MSR), and (2) at ten-years of service. The ...
Rendon, Frank; Wilson, Robert; Colston, Robert; RWC Manpower Consulting (Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2011-06-07);EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Today's Navy is faced with a number of challenges in attracting and retaining the officers and enlisted personnel required to operate and maintain the technical equipment required to achieve mission ...